How we price Lorcana cards: sold vs asking, graded vs raw

Most Lorcana price sites tell you what someone hopes to get for a card. We think that is close to useless. A price only means something once money has actually changed hands. So here is exactly how TCGHits works out Lorcana card prices — no black box, no valuations dressed up as fact, just a clear method you can check for yourself.

Asking prices vs realised sold prices

An asking price is a wish. Anyone can list a card for £500; that number tells you nothing about whether it will ever sell. A realised sold price is the opposite — it is what a real buyer paid a real seller on a real day. We build our numbers almost entirely from completed UK eBay sales, because those are the only figures the market has actually agreed on. We still track live listings, but we label them as asking prices, never as values. The distinction matters: treat Lorcana sold prices as evidence, and asking prices as context.

Why a median beats one shiny listing

One sale can be a fluke. A card goes for double one week because two collectors got into a bidding war, or half the next because someone dumped a whole collection at midnight. If we quoted the single latest sale, our prices would jump around like a fever chart. Instead we take the median of recent sales — the middle value, so a single silly high or low result cannot drag the number around. It is a boring, honest statistic, and boring is what you want when real money is on the line. These are market prices, not real Lorcana values stamped with authority, and certainly not investment advice.

Why graded and raw are priced separately

A raw card and the same card in a graded slab are, for pricing purposes, two different items. A PSA 10 or a high grade from our grading partner Calibre Grading can sell for many times the raw price, and grades in between spread across a wide range. Blending them into one average would flatter your raw cards and short-change your slabs, so we never do it. We keep graded vs raw Lorcana prices in separate buckets, split by grade where the data supports it. If you are weighing up whether a slab is worth the fee, our data-driven look at whether you should grade your Lorcana cards goes deeper.

Why we price the UK on its own

It is tempting to convert everything to one currency and call it done. We do not, because a exchange rate does not reconcile two genuinely different markets. Shipping, import duty, buyer demand and card availability all differ, so the same card can settle at real, persistent gaps on each side of the Atlantic. Collapsing them hides exactly the information an arbitrage-minded buyer wants. We price the UK market and nothing else — one market, done properly — more on that in where Lorcana cards are cheaper, and by how much.

See the method in action

That is the whole recipe: sold over asking, median over hype, graded always apart from raw. Browse the numbers yourself on the TCGHits Lorcana market data and judge the method on its results.